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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sun 8 Mar 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

56%

Lyon

1.78

25%

Draw

3.93

18%

Paris FC

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.8%

Home win

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.33

0.77

Paris FC xG

56%
25%
18%
LyonDrawParis FC

1.78

56%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

46%

Lyon

2.16

21%

Paris FC

4.75

Win to Nil

26%

Lyon

3.84

4%

Paris FC

25.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 7.5 2.9 0.7 0.1
1 15.2 11.7 4.5 1.2 0.2
2 11.8 9.1 3.5 0.9 0.2
3 6.2 4.7 1.8 0.5 0.1
4 2.4 1.8 0.7 0.2
5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.558
λ Away (xG) 0.769
Total xG 2.327
League avg home goals 1.438
League avg away goals 1.188
Lyon attack strength 1.084
Lyon defence strength 0.764
Paris FC attack strength 0.847
Paris FC defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 24