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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

19:45

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

62%

Lyon

1.62

20%

Draw

4.92

18%

Nice

5.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.11

Lyon xG

Total xG

3.17

1.06

Nice xG

62%
20%
18%
LyonDrawNice

1.62

62%

Home win

4.92

20%

Draw

5.53

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

35%

Lyon

2.88

12%

Nice

8.28

Win to Nil

21%

Lyon

4.67

2%

Nice

45.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.9 9.4 5.0 1.7 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 6.6 7.0 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1
4 3.5 3.7 2.0 0.7 0.2
5 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.114
λ Away (xG) 1.057
Total xG 3.171
League avg home goals 1.501
League avg away goals 1.209
Lyon attack strength 1.055
Lyon defence strength 0.786
Nice attack strength 1.112
Nice defence strength 1.336
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55