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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

47%

Lyon

2.11

26%

Draw

3.83

27%

Nantes

3.76

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.52

1.04

Nantes xG

47%
26%
27%
LyonDrawNantes

2.11

47%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

3.76

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

35%

Lyon

2.82

23%

Nantes

4.38

Win to Nil

17%

Lyon

5.97

6%

Nantes

16.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 8.4 4.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 11.9 12.4 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.2 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.5 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.477
λ Away (xG) 1.038
Total xG 2.515
League avg home goals 1.619
League avg away goals 1.221
Lyon attack strength 1.070
Lyon defence strength 0.983
Nantes attack strength 0.865
Nantes defence strength 0.852
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47