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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lyon Win
66%
1.51
21%
4.74
13%
7.96
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
10.6%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 1
9.8%
Home win
1 – 0
9.3%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.27
Lyon xG
Total xG
3.19
0.93
Montpellier xG
LyonDrawMontpellier
1.51
66%
Home win
4.74
21%
Draw
7.96
13%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
55%
BTTS Yes
1.80
45%
BTTS No
2.24
Clean Sheet
40%
2.52
10%
9.67
Win to Nil
26%
3.80
1%
76.93
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 9.3 | 8.6 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.6 | 9.8 | 4.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 4.5 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.269
λ Away (xG)
0.925
Total xG
3.194
League avg home goals
1.540
League avg away goals
1.309
Lyon attack strength
1.148
Lyon defence strength
1.031
Montpellier attack strength
0.685
Montpellier defence strength
1.284
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 49