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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

14:00

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

43%

Lyon

2.34

27%

Draw

3.66

30%

Monaco

3.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.41

1.07

Monaco xG

43%
27%
30%
LyonDrawMonaco

2.34

43%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

3.34

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

34%

Lyon

2.92

26%

Monaco

3.81

Win to Nil

15%

Lyon

6.82

8%

Monaco

12.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 9.6 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
1 12.0 12.9 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.0 8.6 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.6 3.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.337
λ Away (xG) 1.071
Total xG 2.408
League avg home goals 1.434
League avg away goals 1.187
Lyon attack strength 1.055
Lyon defence strength 0.793
Monaco attack strength 1.137
Monaco defence strength 0.884
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60