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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lyon Win
60%
1.66
21%
4.72
19%
5.34
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
10.0%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.9%
Draw
1 – 0
9.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.01
Lyon xG
Total xG
3.03
1.03
Metz xG
LyonDrawMetz
1.66
60%
Home win
4.72
21%
Draw
5.34
19%
Away win
Goals Markets
81%
Over 1.5
1.23
19%
Under 1.5
5.26
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
36%
Over 3.5
2.78
64%
Under 3.5
1.56
19%
Over 4.5
5.26
81%
Under 4.5
1.23
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
56%
BTTS Yes
1.80
44%
BTTS No
2.25
Clean Sheet
36%
2.79
13%
7.44
Win to Nil
22%
4.64
3%
39.77
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 9.7 | 9.9 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.7 | 10.0 | 5.1 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.5 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.007
λ Away (xG)
1.026
Total xG
3.033
League avg home goals
1.494
League avg away goals
1.252
Lyon attack strength
1.168
Lyon defence strength
0.964
Metz attack strength
0.850
Metz defence strength
1.150
Data phase
Blended
Games used (H/A)
35 / 1