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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

14:00

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

62%

Lyon

1.61

22%

Draw

4.65

16%

Le Havre

6.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.79

0.87

Le Havre xG

62%
22%
16%
LyonDrawLe Havre

1.61

62%

Home win

4.65

22%

Draw

6.12

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

42%

Lyon

2.38

15%

Le Havre

6.85

Win to Nil

26%

Lyon

3.83

2%

Le Havre

41.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.1
1 11.8 10.2 4.4 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.8 4.3 1.2 0.3
3 7.3 6.3 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.5 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.924
λ Away (xG) 0.868
Total xG 2.792
League avg home goals 1.658
League avg away goals 1.156
Lyon attack strength 1.131
Lyon defence strength 0.912
Le Havre attack strength 0.823
Le Havre defence strength 1.026
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49