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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

14:00

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

49%

Lyon

2.06

30%

Draw

3.35

22%

Auxerre

4.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.35

0.89

Auxerre xG

49%
30%
22%
LyonDrawAuxerre

2.06

49%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

4.65

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

41%

Lyon

2.44

23%

Auxerre

4.29

Win to Nil

20%

Lyon

5.03

5%

Auxerre

19.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 8.5 3.8 1.1 0.3
1 13.9 12.4 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.0 4.0 1.2 0.3
3 4.9 4.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.457
λ Away (xG) 0.894
Total xG 2.351
League avg home goals 1.455
League avg away goals 1.241
Lyon attack strength 1.040
Lyon defence strength 0.802
Auxerre attack strength 0.898
Auxerre defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64