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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Parc Olympique Lyonnais

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

57%

Lyon

1.77

25%

Draw

3.99

18%

Angers

5.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.7%

Home win

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.38

0.79

Angers xG

57%
25%
18%
LyonDrawAngers

1.77

57%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

5.43

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

45%

Lyon

2.20

20%

Angers

4.92

Win to Nil

26%

Lyon

3.89

4%

Angers

26.69

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.2 7.3 2.9 0.8 0.1
1 14.7 11.6 4.6 1.2 0.2
2 11.7 9.2 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 6.2 4.9 1.9 0.5 0.1
4 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.593
λ Away (xG) 0.788
Total xG 2.381
League avg home goals 1.666
League avg away goals 1.235
Lyon attack strength 1.095
Lyon defence strength 0.770
Angers attack strength 0.828
Angers defence strength 0.873
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38