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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Groupama Stadium

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

59%

Lyon

1.68

23%

Draw

4.44

18%

Angers

5.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.92

Lyon xG

Total xG

2.88

0.96

Angers xG

59%
23%
18%
LyonDrawAngers

1.68

59%

Home win

4.44

23%

Draw

5.54

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

38%

Lyon

2.62

15%

Angers

6.83

Win to Nil

23%

Lyon

4.41

3%

Angers

37.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 5.4 2.6 0.8 0.2
1 10.7 10.3 5.0 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.6 6.4 3.1 1.0 0.2
4 3.2 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.922
λ Away (xG) 0.963
Total xG 2.885
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.390
Lyon attack strength 1.379
Lyon defence strength 0.946
Angers attack strength 0.732
Angers defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 33