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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Wed 29 Oct 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

19%

Lorient

5.36

17%

Draw

5.79

64%

Paris Saint Germain

1.56

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 3

7.5%

Away win

1 – 1

6.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Lorient xG

Total xG

4.09

2.67

Paris Saint Germain xG

19%
17%
64%
LorientDrawParis Saint Germain

5.36

19%

Home win

5.79

17%

Draw

1.56

64%

Away win

Goals Markets

92%

Over 1.5

1.09

8%

Under 1.5

12.50

78%

Over 2.5

1.28

22%

Under 2.5

4.55

58%

Over 3.5

1.72

42%

Under 3.5

2.38

39%

Over 4.5

2.56

61%

Under 4.5

1.64

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

71%

BTTS Yes

1.42

29%

BTTS No

3.40

Clean Sheet

7%

Lorient

14.47

24%

Paris Saint Germain

4.14

Win to Nil

1%

Lorient

77.62

15%

Paris Saint Germain

6.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.7 4.5 6.0 5.3 3.5 1.9
1 2.4 6.3 8.5 7.5 5.0 2.7
2 1.7 4.5 6.0 5.4 3.6 1.9
3 0.8 2.1 2.8 2.5 1.7 0.9
4 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.3
5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.421
λ Away (xG) 2.672
Total xG 4.093
League avg home goals 1.713
League avg away goals 1.279
Lorient attack strength 1.199
Lorient defence strength 1.489
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.403
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.692
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 9 / 43