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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

46%

Lorient

2.17

22%

Draw

4.63

32%

Nice

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 2

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Lorient xG

Total xG

3.62

1.64

Nice xG

46%
22%
32%
LorientDrawNice

2.17

46%

Home win

4.63

22%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

88%

Over 1.5

1.14

12%

Under 1.5

8.33

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

49%

Over 3.5

2.04

51%

Under 3.5

1.96

30%

Over 4.5

3.33

70%

Under 4.5

1.43

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.44

31%

BTTS No

3.27

Clean Sheet

19%

Lorient

5.13

14%

Nice

7.24

Win to Nil

9%

Lorient

11.13

4%

Nice

22.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.7 4.4 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.3
1 5.3 8.7 7.1 3.9 1.6 0.5
2 5.3 8.6 7.1 3.8 1.6 0.5
3 3.5 5.7 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.3
4 1.7 2.8 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.980
λ Away (xG) 1.636
Total xG 3.616
League avg home goals 1.626
League avg away goals 1.222
Lorient attack strength 1.086
Lorient defence strength 1.315
Nice attack strength 1.018
Nice defence strength 1.122
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 13 / 47