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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade du Moustoir

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lorient Win

49%

Lorient

2.03

27%

Draw

3.69

24%

Le Havre

4.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.61

Lorient xG

Total xG

2.67

1.05

Le Havre xG

49%
27%
24%
LorientDrawLe Havre

2.03

49%

Home win

3.69

27%

Draw

4.23

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

35%

Lorient

2.87

20%

Le Havre

5.02

Win to Nil

17%

Lorient

5.82

5%

Le Havre

21.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.3 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.2 11.8 6.2 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.5 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.1 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 2.0 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.613
λ Away (xG) 1.053
Total xG 2.666
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.300
Lorient attack strength 1.055
Lorient defence strength 1.072
Le Havre attack strength 0.756
Le Havre defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 67