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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

52%

Lille

1.93

29%

Draw

3.40

19%

Reims

5.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Lille xG

Total xG

2.02

0.69

Reims xG

52%
29%
19%
LilleDrawReims

1.93

52%

Home win

3.40

29%

Draw

5.30

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.70

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

50%

Lille

1.99

26%

Reims

3.78

Win to Nil

26%

Lille

3.84

5%

Reims

20.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 9.1 3.1 0.7 0.1
1 17.7 12.2 4.2 1.0 0.2
2 11.8 8.1 2.8 0.6 0.1
3 5.2 3.6 1.2 0.3
4 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.329
λ Away (xG) 0.687
Total xG 2.016
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.390
Lille attack strength 1.086
Lille defence strength 0.790
Reims attack strength 0.626
Reims defence strength 0.845
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67