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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

58%

Lille

1.72

24%

Draw

4.22

18%

Paris FC

5.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Lille xG

Total xG

2.56

0.84

Paris FC xG

58%
24%
18%
LilleDrawParis FC

1.72

58%

Home win

4.22

24%

Draw

5.49

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

43%

Lille

2.32

18%

Paris FC

5.56

Win to Nil

25%

Lille

3.99

3%

Paris FC

30.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 6.5 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 13.3 11.2 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.4 9.6 4.0 1.1 0.2
3 6.5 5.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 2.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.716
λ Away (xG) 0.842
Total xG 2.558
League avg home goals 1.642
League avg away goals 1.208
Lille attack strength 1.080
Lille defence strength 0.785
Paris FC attack strength 0.888
Paris FC defence strength 0.967
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 12