🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lille Win
56%
1.78
24%
4.14
20%
5.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.0%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.9%
Home win
1 – 0
8.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.99
Lille xG
Total xG
3.10
1.11
Nantes xG
LilleDrawNantes
1.78
56%
Home win
4.14
24%
Draw
5.11
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
82%
Over 1.5
1.22
18%
Under 1.5
5.56
60%
Over 2.5
1.67
40%
Under 2.5
2.50
38%
Over 3.5
2.63
62%
Under 3.5
1.61
20%
Over 4.5
5.00
80%
Under 4.5
1.25
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
59%
BTTS Yes
1.69
41%
BTTS No
2.45
Clean Sheet
33%
3.05
14%
7.29
Win to Nil
18%
5.41
3%
37.25
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 10.0 | 5.6 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.9 | 5.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.986
λ Away (xG)
1.114
Total xG
3.100
League avg home goals
1.549
League avg away goals
1.310
Lille attack strength
1.100
Lille defence strength
0.936
Nantes attack strength
0.908
Nantes defence strength
1.165
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
49 / 49