🎯
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Lille Win
73%
1.37
17%
6.02
11%
9.43
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 0
11.8%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 0
9.9%
Home win
2 – 1
9.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.39
Lille xG
Total xG
3.19
0.80
Metz xG
LilleDrawMetz
1.37
73%
Home win
6.02
17%
Draw
9.43
11%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
62%
Over 2.5
1.61
38%
Under 2.5
2.63
40%
Over 3.5
2.50
60%
Under 3.5
1.67
22%
Over 4.5
4.55
78%
Under 4.5
1.28
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
2.00
50%
BTTS No
2.00
Clean Sheet
45%
2.22
9%
10.95
Win to Nil
33%
3.05
1%
103.27
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 9.9 | 7.9 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 11.8 | 9.4 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 9.4 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.393
λ Away (xG)
0.797
Total xG
3.190
League avg home goals
1.692
League avg away goals
1.282
Lille attack strength
0.880
Lille defence strength
0.804
Metz attack strength
0.772
Metz defence strength
1.607
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
42 / 8