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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 8 Feb 2025

18:00

Venue

Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

58%

Lille

1.71

26%

Draw

3.90

16%

Le Havre

6.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.98

Lille xG

Total xG

2.96

0.98

Le Havre xG

58%
26%
16%
LilleDrawLe Havre

1.71

58%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

6.25

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

37%

Lille

2.67

14%

Le Havre

7.22

Win to Nil

22%

Lille

4.58

2%

Le Havre

45.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 5.1 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 10.1 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.7 6.6 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 3.3 3.2 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.977
λ Away (xG) 0.983
Total xG 2.960
League avg home goals 1.515
League avg away goals 1.298
Lille attack strength 1.184
Lille defence strength 0.918
Le Havre attack strength 0.825
Le Havre defence strength 1.102
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54