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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

44%

Lille

2.26

30%

Draw

3.39

26%

Auxerre

3.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Lille xG

Total xG

2.40

1.01

Auxerre xG

44%
30%
26%
LilleDrawAuxerre

2.26

44%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

3.80

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

36%

Lille

2.75

25%

Auxerre

3.99

Win to Nil

16%

Lille

6.23

7%

Auxerre

15.15

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.8 6.5 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 8.8 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.0 4.1 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.383
λ Away (xG) 1.013
Total xG 2.396
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.300
Lille attack strength 0.894
Lille defence strength 0.832
Auxerre attack strength 0.937
Auxerre defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67