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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 30 Jan 2026

19:45

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

58%

Lens

1.71

26%

Draw

3.84

16%

Le Havre

6.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.4%

Home win

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Lens xG

Total xG

2.13

0.63

Le Havre xG

58%
26%
16%
LensDrawLe Havre

1.71

58%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

6.45

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.75

64%

BTTS No

1.57

Clean Sheet

53%

Lens

1.88

22%

Le Havre

4.50

Win to Nil

31%

Lens

3.21

3%

Le Havre

29.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 7.5 2.3 0.5 0.1
1 17.8 11.2 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 13.4 8.4 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 6.7 4.2 1.3 0.3
4 2.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.504
λ Away (xG) 0.630
Total xG 2.134
League avg home goals 1.489
League avg away goals 1.316
Lens attack strength 1.046
Lens defence strength 0.637
Le Havre attack strength 0.751
Le Havre defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 53