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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

36%

Lens

2.80

32%

Draw

3.12

32%

Le Havre

3.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Lens xG

Total xG

2.32

1.13

Le Havre xG

36%
32%
32%
LensDrawLe Havre

2.80

36%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

3.09

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

32%

Lens

3.09

30%

Le Havre

3.30

Win to Nil

12%

Lens

8.66

10%

Le Havre

10.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 11.1 6.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
1 11.7 13.2 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.0 7.9 4.5 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.8 3.1 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.195
λ Away (xG) 1.128
Total xG 2.323
League avg home goals 1.562
League avg away goals 1.350
Lens attack strength 0.747
Lens defence strength 0.927
Le Havre attack strength 0.902
Le Havre defence strength 1.025
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57