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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 17 Jan 2026

16:00

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

68%

Lens

1.46

20%

Draw

4.93

11%

Auxerre

8.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

14.3%

Home win

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

Lens xG

Total xG

2.58

0.64

Auxerre xG

68%
20%
LensDrawAuxerre

1.46

68%

Home win

4.93

20%

Draw

8.83

11%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.47

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

53%

Lens

1.89

14%

Auxerre

6.99

Win to Nil

36%

Lens

2.77

2%

Auxerre

61.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 4.8 1.5 0.3 0.1
1 14.7 9.4 3.0 0.6 0.1
2 14.3 9.1 2.9 0.6 0.1
3 9.3 5.9 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 4.5 2.9 0.9 0.2
5 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.944
λ Away (xG) 0.639
Total xG 2.583
League avg home goals 1.538
League avg away goals 1.200
Lens attack strength 1.118
Lens defence strength 0.728
Auxerre attack strength 0.732
Auxerre defence strength 1.131
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51