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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

38%

Lens

2.60

26%

Draw

3.78

35%

Auxerre

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Lens xG

Total xG

2.58

1.25

Auxerre xG

38%
26%
35%
LensDrawAuxerre

2.60

38%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

29%

Lens

3.51

27%

Auxerre

3.77

Win to Nil

11%

Lens

9.11

9%

Auxerre

10.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 9.5 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.0 12.6 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.4 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.9 3.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.328
λ Away (xG) 1.255
Total xG 2.583
League avg home goals 1.501
League avg away goals 1.424
Lens attack strength 0.757
Lens defence strength 0.985
Auxerre attack strength 0.895
Auxerre defence strength 1.169
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 30