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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

46%

Le Havre

2.19

23%

Draw

4.41

32%

Rennes

3.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

1 – 2

7.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Le Havre xG

Total xG

3.31

1.49

Rennes xG

46%
23%
32%
Le HavreDrawRennes

2.19

46%

Home win

4.41

23%

Draw

3.16

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.85

Clean Sheet

23%

Le Havre

4.43

16%

Rennes

6.17

Win to Nil

10%

Le Havre

9.70

5%

Rennes

19.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.7 5.4 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
1 6.7 9.9 7.4 3.7 1.4 0.4
2 6.1 9.0 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 3.7 5.5 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 2.5 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.820
λ Away (xG) 1.488
Total xG 3.308
League avg home goals 1.590
League avg away goals 1.202
Le Havre attack strength 0.930
Le Havre defence strength 1.219
Rennes attack strength 1.015
Rennes defence strength 1.230
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 40 / 40