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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

43%

Le Havre

2.33

26%

Draw

3.91

31%

Paris FC

3.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.48

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.70

1.23

Paris FC xG

43%
26%
31%
Le HavreDrawParis FC

2.33

43%

Home win

3.91

26%

Draw

3.18

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

29%

Le Havre

3.41

23%

Paris FC

4.38

Win to Nil

13%

Le Havre

7.93

7%

Paris FC

13.93

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 8.2 5.0 2.1 0.6 0.2
1 9.9 12.1 7.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 9.0 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.6 4.4 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.477
λ Away (xG) 1.226
Total xG 2.703
League avg home goals 1.633
League avg away goals 1.155
Le Havre attack strength 0.785
Le Havre defence strength 1.040
Paris FC attack strength 1.021
Paris FC defence strength 1.152
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 14