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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

30%

Le Havre

3.31

23%

Draw

4.33

47%

Nice

2.14

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

0 – 1

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.39

Le Havre xG

Total xG

3.17

1.78

Nice xG

30%
23%
47%
Le HavreDrawNice

3.31

30%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

2.14

47%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

17%

Le Havre

5.91

25%

Nice

4.03

Win to Nil

5%

Le Havre

19.54

12%

Nice

8.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.2 7.5 6.6 3.9 1.7 0.6
1 5.9 10.4 9.2 5.5 2.4 0.9
2 4.1 7.2 6.4 3.8 1.7 0.6
3 1.9 3.4 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.393
λ Away (xG) 1.777
Total xG 3.170
League avg home goals 1.571
League avg away goals 1.282
Le Havre attack strength 0.888
Le Havre defence strength 1.276
Nice attack strength 1.086
Nice defence strength 0.999
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36