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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

27%

Le Havre

3.73

22%

Draw

4.47

51%

Marseille

1.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

0 – 1

7.5%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Le Havre xG

Total xG

3.23

1.90

Marseille xG

27%
22%
51%
Le HavreDrawMarseille

3.73

27%

Home win

4.47

22%

Draw

1.97

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.60

38%

BTTS No

2.66

Clean Sheet

15%

Le Havre

6.68

27%

Marseille

3.77

Win to Nil

4%

Le Havre

24.94

14%

Marseille

7.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 7.5 7.2 4.5 2.2 0.8
1 5.3 10.0 9.5 6.0 2.9 1.1
2 3.5 6.6 6.3 4.0 1.9 0.7
3 1.5 2.9 2.8 1.8 0.8 0.3
4 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.326
λ Away (xG) 1.899
Total xG 3.225
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.412
Le Havre attack strength 0.797
Le Havre defence strength 1.447
Marseille attack strength 0.930
Marseille defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66