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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

40%

Le Havre

2.49

26%

Draw

3.81

34%

Lyon

2.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.61

1.24

Lyon xG

40%
26%
34%
Le HavreDrawLyon

2.49

40%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

2.97

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.13

Clean Sheet

29%

Le Havre

3.45

25%

Lyon

3.96

Win to Nil

12%

Le Havre

8.59

9%

Lyon

11.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.1 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.1 12.5 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.375
λ Away (xG) 1.237
Total xG 2.612
League avg home goals 1.403
League avg away goals 1.162
Le Havre attack strength 0.873
Le Havre defence strength 0.860
Lyon attack strength 1.238
Lyon defence strength 1.123
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59