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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

41%

Le Havre

2.43

25%

Draw

4.03

34%

Lille

2.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.52

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.87

1.35

Lille xG

41%
25%
34%
Le HavreDrawLille

2.43

41%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

2.94

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

26%

Le Havre

3.87

22%

Lille

4.55

Win to Nil

11%

Le Havre

9.40

7%

Lille

13.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.7 5.2 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 8.6 11.6 7.9 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 8.8 6.0 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 4.5 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.2 1.7 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.516
λ Away (xG) 1.354
Total xG 2.870
League avg home goals 1.626
League avg away goals 1.222
Le Havre attack strength 0.916
Le Havre defence strength 1.039
Lille attack strength 1.066
Lille defence strength 1.018
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47