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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

32%

Le Havre

3.16

25%

Draw

4.01

43%

Lens

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.2%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.82

1.54

Lens xG

32%
25%
43%
Le HavreDrawLens

3.16

32%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

2.30

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

21%

Le Havre

4.66

28%

Lens

3.59

Win to Nil

7%

Le Havre

14.74

12%

Lens

8.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 9.2 7.1 3.6 1.4 0.4
1 7.6 11.8 9.1 4.6 1.8 0.5
2 4.9 7.5 5.8 3.0 1.1 0.4
3 2.1 3.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.277
λ Away (xG) 1.539
Total xG 2.816
League avg home goals 1.592
League avg away goals 1.173
Le Havre attack strength 0.904
Le Havre defence strength 1.260
Lens attack strength 1.041
Lens defence strength 0.887
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35