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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 12 Jan 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade Océane

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lens Win

12%

Le Havre

8.26

23%

Draw

4.33

65%

Lens

1.54

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

12.9%

Away win

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.74

Le Havre xG

Total xG

2.70

1.96

Lens xG

12%
23%
65%
Le HavreDrawLens

8.26

12%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

1.54

65%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

14%

Le Havre

7.09

48%

Lens

2.10

Win to Nil

2%

Le Havre

58.61

31%

Lens

3.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 13.1 12.9 8.4 4.1 1.6
1 5.0 9.8 9.6 6.2 3.1 1.2
2 1.9 3.6 3.6 2.3 1.1 0.4
3 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.743
λ Away (xG) 1.959
Total xG 2.702
League avg home goals 1.572
League avg away goals 1.294
Le Havre attack strength 0.603
Le Havre defence strength 1.400
Lens attack strength 1.081
Lens defence strength 0.785
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50