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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sun 2 Mar 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

43%

Auxerre

2.31

30%

Draw

3.35

27%

Strasbourg

3.71

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.55

1.10

Strasbourg xG

43%
30%
27%
AuxerreDrawStrasbourg

2.31

43%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

3.71

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

33%

Auxerre

3.01

24%

Strasbourg

4.25

Win to Nil

14%

Auxerre

6.96

6%

Strasbourg

15.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.6 4.7 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.5 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.2 9.0 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.0 4.3 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.447
λ Away (xG) 1.101
Total xG 2.548
League avg home goals 1.603
League avg away goals 1.373
Auxerre attack strength 0.983
Auxerre defence strength 0.798
Strasbourg attack strength 1.005
Strasbourg defence strength 0.918
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 23 / 57