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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

20:00

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

43%

Auxerre

2.30

32%

Draw

3.14

25%

Nice

4.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

11.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.20

0.92

Nice xG

43%
32%
25%
AuxerreDrawNice

2.30

43%

Home win

3.14

32%

Draw

4.04

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

40%

Auxerre

2.50

28%

Nice

3.63

Win to Nil

17%

Auxerre

5.75

7%

Nice

14.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.0 10.1 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.2 13.0 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 8.4 3.8 1.2 0.3
3 3.9 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.289
λ Away (xG) 0.915
Total xG 2.204
League avg home goals 1.519
League avg away goals 1.292
Auxerre attack strength 0.837
Auxerre defence strength 0.831
Nice attack strength 0.852
Nice defence strength 1.015
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66