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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 1 Nov 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

27%

Auxerre

3.71

27%

Draw

3.65

46%

Marseille

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.34

1.36

Marseille xG

27%
27%
46%
AuxerreDrawMarseille

3.71

27%

Home win

3.65

27%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.15

54%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

26%

Auxerre

3.90

38%

Marseille

2.66

Win to Nil

7%

Auxerre

14.49

17%

Marseille

5.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.6 13.1 8.9 4.1 1.4 0.4
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 4.6 6.3 4.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
3 1.5 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.978
λ Away (xG) 1.362
Total xG 2.340
League avg home goals 1.714
League avg away goals 1.254
Auxerre attack strength 0.692
Auxerre defence strength 0.972
Marseille attack strength 1.117
Marseille defence strength 0.824
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44