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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Marseille Win

24%

Auxerre

4.12

28%

Draw

3.59

48%

Marseille

2.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.06

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.62

1.57

Marseille xG

24%
28%
48%
AuxerreDrawMarseille

4.12

24%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.09

48%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

21%

Auxerre

4.79

35%

Marseille

2.88

Win to Nil

5%

Auxerre

19.75

17%

Marseille

6.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 11.4 8.9 4.7 1.8 0.6
1 7.7 12.0 9.4 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.1 6.3 5.0 2.6 1.0 0.3
3 1.4 2.2 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.057
λ Away (xG) 1.567
Total xG 2.624
League avg home goals 1.537
League avg away goals 1.349
Auxerre attack strength 0.891
Auxerre defence strength 0.914
Marseille attack strength 1.270
Marseille defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 56