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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

14:00

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

33%

Auxerre

3.05

28%

Draw

3.52

39%

Lyon

2.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.3%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.08

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.29

1.20

Lyon xG

33%
28%
39%
AuxerreDrawLyon

3.05

33%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.58

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

30%

Auxerre

3.33

34%

Lyon

2.95

Win to Nil

10%

Auxerre

10.18

13%

Lyon

7.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 12.3 7.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 11.0 13.2 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 5.9 7.2 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.081
λ Away (xG) 1.204
Total xG 2.285
League avg home goals 1.666
League avg away goals 1.209
Auxerre attack strength 0.664
Auxerre defence strength 0.934
Lyon attack strength 1.066
Lyon defence strength 0.977
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46