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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 13 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

38%

Auxerre

2.62

25%

Draw

3.95

37%

Lyon

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

0 – 1

8.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.79

1.38

Lyon xG

38%
25%
37%
AuxerreDrawLyon

2.62

38%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

25%

Auxerre

3.97

24%

Lyon

4.12

Win to Nil

10%

Auxerre

10.40

9%

Lyon

11.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 8.4 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.3
1 8.7 11.9 8.2 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.1 8.4 5.8 2.7 0.9 0.3
3 2.9 4.0 2.7 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.2
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.415
λ Away (xG) 1.379
Total xG 2.794
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.433
Auxerre attack strength 0.882
Auxerre defence strength 0.796
Lyon attack strength 1.209
Lyon defence strength 1.087
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 62