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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Fri 10 Jan 2025

20:05

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

37%

Auxerre

2.73

31%

Draw

3.27

33%

Lille

3.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.38

1.15

Lille xG

37%
31%
33%
AuxerreDrawLille

2.73

37%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

3.05

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

32%

Auxerre

3.16

29%

Lille

3.41

Win to Nil

12%

Auxerre

8.61

10%

Lille

10.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3 10.7 6.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 11.4 13.1 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 7.0 8.0 4.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.9 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.227
λ Away (xG) 1.149
Total xG 2.376
League avg home goals 1.578
League avg away goals 1.276
Auxerre attack strength 1.009
Auxerre defence strength 0.880
Lille attack strength 1.023
Lille defence strength 0.771
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 50