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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

38%

Auxerre

2.64

25%

Draw

4.03

37%

Le Havre

2.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Auxerre xG

Total xG

2.90

1.44

Le Havre xG

38%
25%
37%
AuxerreDrawLe Havre

2.64

38%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

2.68

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

24%

Auxerre

4.23

23%

Le Havre

4.28

Win to Nil

9%

Auxerre

11.18

9%

Le Havre

11.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.0 5.7 2.8 1.0 0.3
1 8.0 11.6 8.4 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.4 6.1 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.8 4.1 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.455
λ Away (xG) 1.443
Total xG 2.898
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.407
Auxerre attack strength 0.850
Auxerre defence strength 0.954
Le Havre attack strength 1.075
Le Havre defence strength 1.160
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 65