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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Auxerre Win

44%

Auxerre

2.25

34%

Draw

2.90

21%

Angers

4.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Auxerre xG

Total xG

1.92

0.74

Angers xG

44%
34%
21%
AuxerreDrawAngers

2.25

44%

Home win

2.90

34%

Draw

4.74

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.61

62%

BTTS No

1.62

Clean Sheet

48%

Auxerre

2.10

31%

Angers

3.27

Win to Nil

21%

Auxerre

4.72

6%

Angers

15.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6 10.8 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 17.3 12.8 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 10.2 7.6 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 4.0 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.184
λ Away (xG) 0.741
Total xG 1.925
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.299
Auxerre attack strength 0.729
Auxerre defence strength 0.799
Angers attack strength 0.715
Angers defence strength 1.100
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65