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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 17 Aug 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Raymond-Kopa

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Angers Win

46%

Angers

2.19

25%

Draw

4.06

30%

Paris FC

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.60

Angers xG

Total xG

2.84

1.24

Paris FC xG

46%
25%
30%
AngersDrawParis FC

2.19

46%

Home win

4.06

25%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

29%

Angers

3.47

20%

Paris FC

4.96

Win to Nil

13%

Angers

7.58

6%

Paris FC

16.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.2 4.5 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.3 11.6 7.2 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.3 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.0 4.9 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.601
λ Away (xG) 1.243
Total xG 2.844
League avg home goals 1.594
League avg away goals 1.361
Angers attack strength 0.873
Angers defence strength 1.074
Paris FC attack strength 0.850
Paris FC defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 0