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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Tuesday 2 April 2024

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 2 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Port FC vs Sukhothai FC at 86% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 86% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 8, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the first half goals market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand 86%
Port FC
1 : 0 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Premier League Β· England 81%
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 81%
Fortuna Sittard
1 : 1 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 80%
Excelsior
0 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 12%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 71%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia 79%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Okhdood
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 68%
#6 Premier League Β· England 76%
Newcastle
1 : 1 FT
Everton
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Premier League Β· England 76%
Bournemouth
1 : 0 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia 76%
Abha
0 : 8 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 8 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Tuesday 2 April 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Port FC vs Sukhothai FC at 86% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.