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First Half Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest first-half goal probability β€” Sunday 8 May 2022

First half goals (over 0.5) lands when at least one goal goes in before the break. Our prediction model scales each fixture's full-match expected goals by the share of goals its league actually scores in the first half, measured from recent results. Only fixtures with a 75%+ chance of a first-half goal are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 8 May 2022. Grasshoppers vs FC Sion sits top on 84% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the first half goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland 84%
Grasshoppers
0 : 1 FT
FC Sion
Win 41%
Draw 20%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 76%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 81%
Erzgebirge AUE
0 : 3 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 11%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland 80%
Lausanne
0 : 0 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 28%
Draw 21%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Premier League Β· England 79%
Manchester City
5 : 0 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Superettan Β· Sweden 79%
IK brage
4 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway 79%
Bodo/Glimt
1 : 1 FT
Lillestrom
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 78%
Beşiktaş
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands 76%
Feyenoord
2 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway 76%
Stromsgodset
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey 75%
Yeni Malatyaspor
1 : 3 FT
Rizespor
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 10 fixtures by first-half goal probability (a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

First Half Goals β€” common questions

What does the First Half Goals market mean?

First Half Goals settles on whether a match produces at least one goal before half-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate first half goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The first-half goal probability shown here is the probability of at least one goal before half-time — the full-match expected goals scaled by the share of goals each league actually produces in the first half, measured from its recent results. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for First Half Goals on Sunday 8 May 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Grasshoppers vs FC Sion at 84% first-half goal probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher chance of a first-half goal, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these first half goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.