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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Fri 1 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Lemonsoft Stadion

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VPS Win

37%

VPS

2.74

31%

Draw

3.18

32%

Mariehamn

3.12

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.1%

Home win

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

VPS xG

Total xG

2.14

1.02

Mariehamn xG

37%
31%
32%
VPSDrawMariehamn

2.74

37%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

3.12

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

36%

VPS

2.79

33%

Mariehamn

3.04

Win to Nil

13%

VPS

7.63

11%

Mariehamn

9.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 12.1 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.1 13.4 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.3 7.5 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.7 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.113
λ Away (xG) 1.025
Total xG 2.138
League avg home goals 1.580
League avg away goals 1.498
VPS attack strength 0.706
VPS defence strength 0.909
Mariehamn attack strength 0.753
Mariehamn defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39