🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

📰

Dominant Turku PS run riot with a 3-0 hammering of Kooteepee.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Turku PS beat Kooteepee 3-0 at Veritas Stadion, Relegation, in the Veikkausliiga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Turku PS 2.10 xG and Kooteepee 1.46 xG, a combined 3.56. The scoreboard read 3-0 for 3 actual goals. Turku PS beat their projection by 0.9 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Kooteepee landed 1.5 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Turku PS attack 0.85 / defence 1.15 against Kooteepee attack 0.77 / defence 1.48, drawn from 0/22 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Turku PS 52% | Draw 23% | Kooteepee 26%, with Turku PS to win its most likely call at 52%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 69%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 88% and landed. Over 3.5 was 48% and did not. On both teams to score, the model sat at 68% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights