Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Turku PS at 52%, yet other data sources diverge — this Turku PS vs Kooteepee fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Veritas Stadion plays host to Turku PS versus Kooteepee in Veikkausliiga, Relegation. Kick-off: Thursday 23 October 2025 at 16:30 UTC.
Form & Momentum
Kooteepee (all games): 2W 1D 7L across 10 Veikkausliiga outings this term — 0.70 points per game. Last five: L L W D W. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 2.10 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Conceding 2.10 per game is a high rate — their defensive vulnerabilities have been exposed regularly this season. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. This season is still relatively young for Kooteepee, so this record blends games from this season and last.
Kooteepee's form when playing away from home: 3W 0D 7L across 10 road games this term (0.90 PPG). Away from home they average 1.30 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Turku PS 2.10 xG and Kooteepee 1.46 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Turku PS attack 0.850 / defence 1.150 | Kooteepee attack 0.767 / defence 1.480. League average goals — home 1.674 / away 1.653. Kooteepee bring a strong defensive rating of 1.480 — this is suppressing Turku PS's projected output below what their attack strength alone would suggest. Data: 0 Turku PS games / 22 Kooteepee games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Turku PS 52% | Draw 23% | Kooteepee 26%. Fair-value odds: Turku PS 1.92 | Draw 4.35 | Kooteepee 3.85. Turku PS hold a narrow Poisson edge at 52% — the draw (23%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 69% | BTTS probability 68% | Total xG 3.56. Over 2.5 is the model's clear signal at 69% — a total xG of 3.56 means the expected score alone exceeds the 2.5 threshold, making the Over not just likely but structurally supported by both sides' attack/defence profiles. BTTS Yes at 68% reflects that both xG figures (2.10 / 1.46) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Turku PS are the pick at 52% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 23% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Turku PS if the outright odds are short.
Poisson projects 3.56 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 69% probability — Poisson-only — limited corroboration conviction.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Turku PS vs Kooteepee | Competition: Veikkausliiga, Relegation | Venue: Veritas Stadion • Kick-off: Thursday 23 Oct 2025, 16:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
⚔️ Head-to-Head History
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
📈 Recent Form
• Kooteepee (all comps): 2W-1D-7L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.10 | L5 L-L-W-D-W • Kooteepee away split: 0.90 PPG from 10 | GF 1.30 / GA 2.40 | CS 1
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Turku PS 52% | Draw 23% | Kooteepee 26% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 69% | BTTS 68% | xG Turku PS 2.10 / Kooteepee 1.46 • Poisson strength factors: Turku PS attack 0.850 / def 1.150 | Kooteepee attack 0.767 / def 1.480 | league avg home 1.674 / away 1.653 • Poisson stance: Turku PS (52%) — moderate lean
🎲 Betting Market Intelligence
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture
🧮 Prediction Model
2.10
Turku PS xG
Expected Goals
1.46
Kooteepee xG
68%
BTTS
88%
Over 1.5
69%
Over 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
Full score probability matrix is a Premium feature
Upgrade to see the exact probability of every scoreline from 0-0 to 6-6, not just the headline 1X2 split.
Upgrade to Premium⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Turku PS vs Kooteepee kick off?
Turku PS vs Kooteepee kicked off at 16:30 on Thursday 23 October 2025 at Veritas Stadion.
What was the final score in Turku PS vs Kooteepee?
Turku PS 3 - 0 Kooteepee.
Where is Turku PS vs Kooteepee being played?
The match is being played at Veritas Stadion.
What competition is Turku PS vs Kooteepee part of?
Turku PS vs Kooteepee is a Relegation fixture in the Veikkausliiga (Finland).
Who is favourite to win Turku PS vs Kooteepee?
Our statistical model gives Turku PS a 52% chance of winning, Kooteepee a 26% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw — making Turku PS the favourite.
Will both teams score in Turku PS vs Kooteepee?
Our model estimates a 68% probability that both Turku PS and Kooteepee will score (BTTS).
Will Turku PS vs Kooteepee have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 69%.
What is the head-to-head record between Turku PS and Kooteepee?
• No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset
What form are Turku PS and Kooteepee in?
• Kooteepee (all comps): 2W-1D-7L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 2.10 | L5 L-L-W-D-W • Kooteepee away split: 0.90 PPG from 10 | GF 1.30 / GA 2.40 | CS 1
What do the betting odds say about Turku PS vs Kooteepee?
• Odds data is not currently available for this fixture