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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Round - 2

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

16:30

Venue

Wiklöf Holding Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

VPS Win

27%

Mariehamn

3.64

24%

Draw

4.18

49%

VPS

2.06

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

0 – 1

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Mariehamn xG

Total xG

3.33

1.92

VPS xG

27%
24%
49%
MariehamnDrawVPS

3.64

27%

Home win

4.18

24%

Draw

2.06

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

24%

Over 4.5

4.17

76%

Under 4.5

1.32

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.53

35%

BTTS No

2.89

Clean Sheet

15%

Mariehamn

6.82

24%

VPS

4.10

Win to Nil

4%

Mariehamn

24.84

12%

VPS

8.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6 6.9 6.6 4.2 2.0 0.8
1 5.0 9.7 9.3 6.0 2.9 1.1
2 3.6 6.8 6.6 4.2 2.0 0.8
3 1.7 3.2 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.4
4 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.411
λ Away (xG) 1.920
Total xG 3.331
League avg home goals 1.673
League avg away goals 1.652
Mariehamn attack strength 0.856
Mariehamn defence strength 1.185
VPS attack strength 0.981
VPS defence strength 0.986
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44