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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Sun 27 Apr 2025

16:30

Venue

Wiklöf Holding Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Ilves Win

14%

Mariehamn

7.32

17%

Draw

5.79

69%

Ilves

1.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

9.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 2

9.5%

Away win

1 – 1

7.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.00

Mariehamn xG

Total xG

3.45

2.45

Ilves xG

14%
17%
69%
MariehamnDrawIlves

7.32

14%

Home win

5.79

17%

Draw

1.45

69%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

9%

Mariehamn

11.58

37%

Ilves

2.73

Win to Nil

1%

Mariehamn

84.75

25%

Ilves

3.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 7.7 9.5 7.7 4.7 2.3
1 3.2 7.8 9.5 7.8 4.8 2.3
2 1.6 3.9 4.8 3.9 2.4 1.2
3 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.3 0.8 0.4
4 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.005
λ Away (xG) 2.449
Total xG 3.454
League avg home goals 1.497
League avg away goals 1.611
Mariehamn attack strength 0.805
Mariehamn defence strength 1.142
Ilves attack strength 1.331
Ilves defence strength 0.834
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 26 / 25