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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Relegation Round - 1

Kick-off

Sat 13 Sep 2025

13:00

Venue

Wiklöf Holding Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Haka Win

37%

Mariehamn

2.71

25%

Draw

4.01

38%

Haka

2.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Mariehamn xG

Total xG

3.27

1.65

Haka xG

37%
25%
38%
MariehamnDrawHaka

2.71

37%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

2.62

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.92

Clean Sheet

19%

Mariehamn

5.22

20%

Haka

5.07

Win to Nil

7%

Mariehamn

14.13

8%

Haka

13.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 6.2 5.2 2.8 1.2 0.4
1 6.1 10.1 8.4 4.6 1.9 0.6
2 5.0 8.2 6.8 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 2.7 4.5 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.3
4 1.1 1.8 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.623
λ Away (xG) 1.652
Total xG 3.275
League avg home goals 1.672
League avg away goals 1.652
Mariehamn attack strength 0.850
Mariehamn defence strength 1.191
Haka attack strength 0.839
Haka defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44