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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Wiklöf Holding Arena

Competition

Veikkausliiga

Finland

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mariehamn Win

56%

Mariehamn

1.77

22%

Draw

4.51

21%

FF Jaro

4.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

8.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Mariehamn xG

Total xG

3.15

1.16

FF Jaro xG

56%
22%
21%
MariehamnDrawFF Jaro

1.77

56%

Home win

4.51

22%

Draw

4.66

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

31%

Mariehamn

3.18

14%

FF Jaro

7.32

Win to Nil

18%

Mariehamn

5.63

3%

FF Jaro

34.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 5.0 2.9 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 8.6 9.9 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.7 6.5 3.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 2.8 3.2 1.9 0.7 0.2
5 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.990
λ Away (xG) 1.156
Total xG 3.146
League avg home goals 1.840
League avg away goals 1.347
Mariehamn attack strength 0.940
Mariehamn defence strength 1.010
FF Jaro attack strength 0.850
FF Jaro defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 0